Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.320681 0.425046 0.539683 0.672952 0.821829 0.981474 1.164141
2025-07-20 0.188129 0.324957 0.493375 0.705966 0.959059 1.244204 1.583883
2025-07-27 0.139659 0.294235 0.499779 0.772101 1.107447 1.494558 1.964400
2025-08-03 0.098346 0.259597 0.491920 0.813869 1.222099 1.702893 2.295197
2025-08-10 0.060714 0.216116 0.462403 0.820287 1.287380 1.848035 2.548222
2025-08-17 0.025240 0.156538 0.397915 0.771546 1.276860 1.897068 2.683780
2025-08-24 0.005606 0.106344 0.335226 0.716221 1.251080 1.922273 2.786503
2025-08-31 0.000282 0.078179 0.301455 0.697009 1.268788 1.998318 2.947943
2025-09-07 NaN 0.062852 0.287301 0.704746 1.321135 2.116795 3.160278
2025-09-14 NaN 0.046491 0.265584 0.697690 1.351213 2.205623 3.335201
2025-09-21 NaN 0.031000 0.239000 0.679279 1.363182 2.269650 3.478264
2025-09-28 NaN 0.029189 0.247867 0.720545 1.460295 2.444474 3.759718
2025-10-05 NaN 0.027552 0.258257 0.767278 1.569629 2.640899 4.075633
2025-10-12 NaN 0.024669 0.264114 0.806509 1.669138 2.825958 4.379387
2025-10-19 NaN 0.026864 0.287072 0.876286 1.813264 3.069713 4.756869
2025-10-26 NaN 0.025169 0.296203 0.921197 1.921075 3.265804 5.074689
2025-11-02 NaN 0.018546 0.284798 0.927971 1.972291 3.386819 5.297701
2025-11-09 NaN 0.007649 0.243717 0.875921 1.933959 3.387428 5.367284
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001367 0.202183 0.816690 1.881165 3.366190 5.407082
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000050 0.181615 0.796091 1.885414 3.420331 5.541737
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.175141 0.804389 1.934329 3.535128 5.754315
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.162139 0.796821 1.957454 3.614155 5.920459
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.144823 0.777063 1.959967 3.664090 6.048439